ICE Canada Review: Canola Up With Spec, End-User Demand

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
Jan. 26, 2012
Winnipeg – ICE Futures Canada canola contracts  closed higher on Thursday, as gains in the CBOT soy complex helped  encourage some speculative and end-user buying interest in canola,  according to traders.Weather concerns in South America, and the resulting  uncertainty over the size of the soybean crops there, provided  underlying support for the oilseed markets on Thursday, including  canola, said participants. Statements from the US Federal Reserve  on Wednesday, that they intend to keep interest rates unchanged  near zero through 2014, were also supportive for the US grains and  oilseeds. That buying interest spilled into the canola market as  well, said traders.

Speculators, exporters, and domestic crushers were all noted  buyers, with increasing concerns over the dry conditions across  western Canada also providing support, according to participants.

However, canola did run into technical resistance to the  upside. An increase in farmer hedges, as prices neared the upper  edge of their recent range, tempered the advances.

A stronger tone in the Canadian dollar, which moved above  parity with its US counterpart at one point before backing away,  was also bearish for canola.

About 24,193 canola contracts were traded on Thursday, which  compares with Wednesday when an estimated 17,261 contracts changed  hands. Spreading was a feature, accounting for 18,308 of the  contracts traded.

Milling wheat and durum both posted solid gains, although  activity remained light in the new contracts. Barley futures, both  the old and new, were untraded and unchanged.

Settlement prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton.

 

Price      Change

Canola                Mar     527.30    up 2.90

May     533.70    up 3.60

Nov     513.60    up 6.60

Western Barley    Mar     212.00    unch

May     215.00    unch

Milling Wheat       Oct     265.00    up 4.50

Dec     270.00    up 4.50

Durum                Oct     268.50    up 6.00

Dec     273.00    up 6.00

Barley                 Oct     171.00    unch

Dec     175.00    unch

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