ICE Canola Up, But Running Into Resistance

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
Jan. 26, 2012
Winnipeg – Canola contracts traded on the ICE  Futures Canada platform were stronger at 10:44 CST Thursday,  taking some direction from the advances posted in the CBOT soy  complex.Activity in the outside financial markets, along with  continuing concerns over South American weather conditions, took  soybeans higher on Thursday and some of that buying interest  spilled into canola, according to participants.

Increasing concerns over dryness in western Canada heading  into the 2012 growing season were also said to be providing some  support for canola, with speculators and commercials both on the  buy side.

However, canola was running into technical resistance to the  upside as prices neared the top end of their recent range. A trader  said farmer hedges were picking up on any moves higher, as any  producers who had been waiting to sell over the past couple of  months were taking the opportunity to make some sales at the high  end of the range. Relatively mild temperatures across western  Canada were also encouraging more producer deliveries.

A stronger tone in the Canadian dollar, which moved above  parity with its US counterpart, was also bearish for canola.

At 10:44 CST, about 13,000 canola contracts had changed  hands, with spreading accounting for over 8,000 of the contracts  traded.

Milling wheat, durum, and barley futures were all untraded  and unchanged at midday Thursday, although bids and offers were  being posted in all three commodities.

Prices in Canadian dollars per metric ton at 10:44 CST:

Price      Change

Canola               Mar     528.70    up 4.30

May     534.60    up 4.50

Nov     512.00    up 5.00

Western Barley    Mar     212.00      unch

May     215.00      unch

Milling Wheat     Oct     260.50      unch

Dec     265.50      unch

Durum             Oct     262.50      unch

Dec     267.00      unch

Barley            Oct     171.00      unch

Dec     175.00      unch

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